Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings May 17th 2020, NBA Picks, Trends & Predictions!


March 26, 2020 | Posted By - Google+
Dallas Mavericks at Sacramento Kings May 17th 2020, NBA Picks, Trends & Predictions!

Here we go as the Mavericks are heading to Sacramento as a -5 point favorite in a season series that has Dallas up 2-1 overall and 1-1 ATS on the year. Two out of the 3 games have taken place in Dallas which gives major kudos to the Kings in stealing an ATS victory on the road. The big difference in this situation is that we are in playoff time of the year where teams are looking to solidify home court advantage therefore all of the regular season wrinkles have been ironed out so the viewers will witness the true advantages in mismatches or advantages that one squad may have over the other. Some of the Sports books out in Vegas had Dallas as high as -7 due to the obvious reasons previously stated, which is why we love the -5 value we are getting at Pennsylvania’s Rivers Book and Casino. This season the mavericks are 7-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread the last 4 out of 6 occurrences, while the Kings are 2-5 against the spread after winning their last 4 out of 5 games. Lastly the Mavericks are 13-3 against the line after coming off of an upset loss as a heavy favorite. Let’s roll with this -5 Dallas side that could easily increase to -7 as we move closer to game time as your first free pick winner for this matchup!

Checking in with Draft Kings Scarlet Pearl in Biloxi, we have located the best total from coast to coast as the line setters down south have issued a line of 221.5 for this matchup. It’s very interesting how Sports Books will issue different lines based on demographics as both FanDuel and Draft Kings up north have the total for this matchup at 220? None the less we will lock in the best line based on what our Sports Betting formula shows as the highest probability that this game will go well under the total. In the last two matchups the book makers had the odds more at 226, which shows the Pros also sense a defensive pace of game coming in this final matchup of the season based on the decreased line by 5 points. The Mavericks are 14-20 over/under durig the last three seasons in the last month of the regular season, while Sacramento has gone Under the total with their opponent 59% of the time after playing back to back games and 57% of the time after winning their last 4 out of 6 games. Yes the Kings have hit the Over 75% of their games the last 2 weeks, but this will be an occurrence after the virus delay where the defensive coaches lock in seeing the same opponent for the 4th time this year, while the Mavericks continue their climb for playoff positioning. Take Under 221.5 as your second Free NBA Pick for this matchup. Need a nice two team parlay paying out +260 odds? As always lock in the Under and Dallas -5 as a nice pair of Perfect Twin Killers!

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