Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers May 18th 2020, NBA Picks, Trends & Predictions.


March 26, 2020 | Posted By - Google+
Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers May 18th 2020, NBA Picks, Trends & Predictions.

The Pacers host the surging Warriors as a -8 point favorite but if we shop the lines a bit between the sports books you can find some added value taking Golden State +9 points at The Book a Ceasar’s Property in Murphy North Carolina as this newly renovated casino has the best value for this current matchup. Indiana is firmly locked into the 5th playoff spot with only a 2 game differential between the fourth and sixth position, therefore heading into this game Indiana is keeping tabs on the Sixers and Miami Heat closely; looking to obtain any advantage possible heading into the playoffs. Just before the coronavirus break the Warriors had covered 3 out of 5 games against the spread while the Pacers have won 9 out of their last 12 games. Although Indiana has proven to be the more consistent team throughout the season the Warriors were without 3 starting Allstars, adding Curry back the second week in March. When running through our Sports Betting Algorithm a key situational trend that pokes it head out is that Indiana is 5-9 ATS after covering 3 of their last 5 games against the spread and 2-5 against the line after coming off of a home win! Golden State has covered the spread 57% of the time over the last 3 years when avenging a loss on the road, while also covering the side 56% of the time since 1992 off of a loss against a division rival. Therefore we will roll with the surging Warriors +9 as a side bet Free Play winner for this matchup.
After checking with the sportsbooks in Jersey and Nevada, the best value for this matchup is a 217.5 line at the PepperMill in Reno Nevada. The first matchup between both clubs saw the Over hit with ease as both teams combined for close to 241 combined points. A few books such as Fanduel at the Meadlow lands had the total closer to 219 and with our sports betting formula loving the Over for the second matchup, the 217.5 located in Nevada has some Superb value. Both teams have hit the Over against their opponents 5 out of their last 7 games with Indiana on the season going Over the total 6 out of 10 times against strong offensive opponents that score 106 points per game; which is exactly the offensive average Golden State has over the last month heading into this game. The Warriors are 4-1 over/under on the season when losing one of their home games in the previous month by 20 points or more, with that exact same trend also yielding an 8-4 record over the last 3 seasons. The pace of this game will be super fast with both teams cashing the 3 ball from deep so we will ride with the Over as our second NBA Free Sports betting Pick. As always put the Over 217.5 and Golden State spread +9 on the same ticket for your parlay combo winner, which pays out at roughly +260 to +280 odds!

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