LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 05/15/2020, NBA Picks and Sports Book Predictions!


March 23, 2020 | Posted By - Google+
LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 05/15/2020, NBA Picks and Sports Book Predictions!

This is what we love about the last month of the NBA regular season as we get matchups that have playoff implications as the Lakers host Denver as a -6 point favorite. Fanduel and Draft Kings had Denver closer to a 7 point underdog, but it seems the William Hill Sportsbooks in Nevada are holding back from giving the Nuggets a full 7 on the road, which gives our team great value on the Lakers -6 at home. This year LA is 2-1 vs Denver clearing an average of 5 points in the two wins, while averaging 111 points on the offensive side of the floor. Denver currently holding down the third playoff spot in the west sits 7 games behind LA but has only 6 games that separates their playoff positioning down to the 7th seed record. The last meeting between the Lakers and Nuggets was close down to the wire and would have inexperienced bettors run with the belief that Denver getting more points in this matchup, would be an easy lock for an underdog winner. Our algorithm goes a step further and pulls a key trend which shows the Nuggets only cover the spread 33% of the time after 2 or more consecutive home wins. The Lakers on the other hand are 11-5 in the second half of the season and 17-7 in March games over the last three years against the spread. Therefore we will roll with LA -6 points as your first free pick NBA Top Play!

In the first two meetings this year the book makers set the odds on the total between 208 and 210. As the offensive explosions continued for both teams Draft Kings Scarlet Pearl in Biloxi, issued the highest total on the street at 222. In this matchup the Beau Rivage has your best value currently holding a total for the public at 217.5 compared to the odds up north at Meadow Lands Fanduel sitting at a conservative 216. It is a matter of fact that the betting public loves to pound away at the Over, always assuming the low percentage three balls will fall. Utilizing a sophisticated algorithm, our model pulls a key trend which has the Lakers combining with their opponents, going under the total 60% of the time after LA covers the spread 5 of their last 7 games. Denver has finalized combined totals against their foes going under the total 58% of the time over the last 3 years against opponents with winning records, during the second half of the season. This situation is one where we think the line setters are overreacting to the betting public’s perception based on one high scoring game in this matchup. The Sportsbooks had the odds set at the perfect line in the first two matchups of sub 210 therefore we love this game to go Under the total as your second Denver at Lakers Free Pick Bookie Banger! As always pair the Under along with the Lakers -6 cover for a +260 odds payout on a nice Two Team Parlay Combo.

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